quinta-feira, 3 de março de 2022

AIRSPACE CLOSED FOR RUSSIAN AIRPLANES - Legal Procedure to Return after Takeoff

 AFTER RUSSIA INVASION INTO UKRAINE 

AND 

KEEP SHELLING IT SINCE

FEB 24, 2022

UPDATED APR 28, 2022

22:15 UTC

Many of us have been struggling to find a way to help Ukraine. A Norwegian tech entrepreneur named Fabian Falch found his answer. With a small group of volunteers, Fabian built a system to elude spam filters and dispatch millions of emails to Russia— urging the Russian people to disregard the government propaganda and providing links to accurate information about the war in Ukraine. Fabian figured out how to make a difference; by working with him,
 so have I.

 

Muitos de nós temos lutado para encontrar uma maneira de ajudar a Ucrânia. Um empresário de tecnologia norueguês chamado Fabian Falch encontrou a resposta dele. Com um pequeno grupo de voluntários, Fabian construiu um sistema para escapar de filtros de mensagem publicitária enviada por e-mail e enviar milhões de mensagens para a Rússia, incitando o povo russo a ignorar a propaganda do governo e fornecendo links para informações precisas sobre a guerra na Ucrânia. Fabian descobriu como fazer a diferença; ao trabalhar com ele, eu também.

The challenge is that people in Russia have experienced decades of brainwashing about the evils of the West and the plight of Russians in Eastern Ukraine. Like many Americans, many Russians don’t care about politics or international relations, and they don’t question the news they watch. They want to think well of their own country and will likely resent having their troops accused of killing innocents by an anonymous email landing uninvited in their inbox.

 

O desafio é que as pessoas na Rússia sofreram décadas de lavagem cerebral acerca dos males do Ocidente e a situação dos russos no leste da Ucrânia. Como muitos americanos, muitos russos não se importam com política ou relações internacionais, e eles não questionam as notícias que assistem. Eles querem pensar bem em seu próprio país e provavelmente se ressentem de ter suas tropas acusadas de matar inocentes por um e-mail anônimo aterrissando sem ser convidado em sua caixa de entrada.

 

The use of specific words and phrases to convey one’s engagement with opposing perspectives. Conversational receptiveness uses specific linguistic cues identified by algorithms that analyze natural human language to ensure that your counterpart feels respected and understood. For example, receptive language features acknowledgement phrases such as “I understand that…” and “You are saying that…” to show that you really paid attention to your counterpart’s perspective. It also uses “hedges” (sometimes, possibly, often) to make the message come across as less dogmatic.

 

O uso de palavras e frases específicas para transmitir o engajamento com perspectivas opostas. A receptividade conversacional usa pistas linguísticas específicas identificadas por algoritmos que analisam a linguagem humana natural para garantir que sua contraparte se sinta respeitada e compreendida. Por exemplo, linguagem receptiva apresenta frases de reconhecimento como "Eu entendo isso..." e "Você está dizendo isso..." para mostrar que você realmente prestou atenção à perspectiva de sua contraparte. Ele também usa "hedges" [rodeios] (às vezes, possivelmente, muitas vezes) para fazer a mensagem parecer menos autoritária [presunçosa].

 

 

MENSAGEM ENVIADA NO IDIOMA RUSSO PARA MILHÕES DE PESSOAS RUSSAS

NÃO ACREDITEM NA PROPAGANDA MILITAR DE PUTIN

 

 

RUSSIAN

ENGLISH

Мы с Вами не знакомы, но живём на одной земле, хоть и на большом расстоянии друг от друга.

You and I do not know each other, but we live on the same land, albeit at a great distance from each other.

PORTUGUÊS

Você e eu não nos conhecemos, mas vivemos na mesma terra, embora a uma grande distância um do outro.

Поэтому нас объединяют общие заботы и тревоги, как, например, это ужасная война на Украине.

Therefore, we are united by common concerns and anxieties, such as the terrible war in Ukraine.

PORTUGUÊS

Portanto, estamos unidos por preocupações e ansiedades comuns, como a terrível guerra na Ucrânia.

Я не знаю, что вам известно об этом и поэтому хочу поделиться тем, что знаю я. А Вы напишите мне, что Вы об этом думаете, как, вы считаете, можно исправить то, что происходит, остановить гибель Украинцев и русских.

I don't know what you know about this, so I want to share what I know, and you write to me what you think about it, how do you think it's possible to fix what's going on, to stop the deaths of Ukrainians and Russians.

PORTUGUÊS

Eu não sei o que você sabe sobre isso, então eu quero compartilhar o que eu sei, e você escreve para mim o que você pensa sobre isso, como você acha que é possível consertar o que está acontecendo, para parar a morte de ucranianos e russos.

Сейчас мир потрясён сообщениями западных журналистов, что после отступления российских войск из пригорода Киева там обнаружены десятки трупов мирных жителей.

Now the world is shocked by reports by Western journalists that after the retreat of Russian troops from the suburbs of Kiev, dozens of corpses of civilians were found there.

PORTUGUÊS

Agora, o mundo está chocado com relatos de jornalistas ocidentais de que após a retirada das tropas russas dos subúrbios de Kiev, dezenas de cadáveres de civis foram encontrados lá.

Вы думаете, эти журналисты из разных стран все врут? А вот что я видел своими глазами на кинокадрах.

Do you think these journalists from different countries are all lying? And here's what I saw with my own eyes on the film footage.

PORTUGUÊS

Você acha que esses jornalistas de diferentes países estão todos mentindo? E aqui está o que eu vi com meus próprios olhos na filmagem.

Город порт Мариуполь весь в руинах: российские войска разрушили его, пытаясь захватить.

The city of Mariupol is in ruins: Russian troops destroyed it in an attempt to capture it.

PORTUGUÊS

A cidade de Mariupol está em ruínas: tropas russas a destruíram na tentativa de capturá-la.

На улицах горят костры, на них жители готовят то, что им удается добыть. Нет света, нет воды, в уцелевших домах нет отопления.

Fires are burning in the streets, on which residents prepare what they manage to get. There is no light, there is no water, there is no heating in the surviving houses.

PORTUGUÊS

Incêndios estão queimando nas ruas, em que os moradores preparam o que conseguem. Não há luz, não há água, não há aquecimento nas casas sobreviventes.

Это об украинцах. Но и трупов молодых русских призывников тоже становится все больше с каждым днём. Любому нормальному человеку, по-моему, хочется остановить этот ужас. А Вы как считаете?  

 

It's about Ukrainians. But the corpses of young Russian conscripts are also becoming more and more every day. Any normal person, in my opinion, wants to stop this horror. What do you think?

PORTUGUÊS

É sobre ucranianos. Mas os cadáveres de jovens recrutas russos também estão se tornando cada vez mais a cada dia. Qualquer pessoa normal, na minha opinião, quer parar esse horror. O que você acha?

Есть множество способов обойти блокировку ресурсов, введенную российскими властями.

Погуглите и вы найдете детальные инструкции.

There are many ways to circumvent the blocking of resources imposed by the Russian authorities.  Google and you will find detailed instructions.

PORTUGUÊS

Há muitas maneiras de contornar o bloqueio de recursos imposto pelas autoridades russas.  Google e você encontrará instruções detalhadas.

Чтобы получить анонимный доступ в Интернет, вы можете скачать этот браузер

https://censortracker.org/  или скачать

To get anonymous access to the Internet, you can download this browser https://censortracker.org/  or download

PORTUGUÊS

Para ter acesso anônimo à Internet, você pode baixar este navegador https://censortracker.org/  ou baixar

 

VPN: https://protonvpn.com/  

VPN: https://protonvpn.com/

Telegram — отличное приложение для получения информации, которая не контролируется правительством.

Telegram - a great app for getting information that is not controlled by the government.

PORTUGUÊS

Telegram - um ótimo aplicativo para obter informações que não são controladas pelo governo.

 

 

 

Загрузите его здесь: https://telegram.org/  

Download it here: https://telegram.org/

PORTUGUÊS

Baixe aqui: https://telegram.org/

Вот некоторые каналы Telegram, где вы можете прочитать новости:

Here are some Telegram channels where you can read the news:

PORTUGUÊS

Aqui estão alguns canais do Telegram onde você pode ler as notícias:

 

https://t.me/HSNewsInRussian  

https://t.me/novaya_pishet  

https://telegram.me/mediazzzona

 

https://t.me/HSNewsInRussian 

https://t.me/novaya_pishet 

https://telegram.me/mediazzzona

 


ENGLISH

PORTUGUÊS

Russian President Vladimir Putin has signed a law authorizing the seizure of hundreds of Western-built aircraft operated by Russian airlines.

 

O presidente russo, Vladimir Putin, assinou uma lei autorizando o confisco de centenas de aeronaves fabricadas no ocidente e operadas por companhias aéreas russas.

 

The planes are owned by aircraft lessors, which have canceled contracts following sanctions against Russia.

 

Os aviões pertencem a locadoras de aeronaves, que cancelaram contratos seguindo as sanções contra a Rússia.

 

The seize could pose a risk to passengers because the planes may not receive proper maintenance repairs due to sanctions.

 

O confisco pode representar um risco para os passageiros, pois os aviões podem não receber reparos de manutenção adequados devido às sanções.

 

On Monday, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a law that will allow Russian airlines to take control of hundreds of the Western-built planes leased from international firms, Russian news agency TASS reported, per The Wall Street Journal.

 

Na segunda-feira [14/03], o presidente russo Vladimir Putin assinou uma lei que permitirá que as companhias aéreas russas assumam o controle de centenas de aviões construídos pelo Ocidente alugados a partir de empresas internacionais, informou a agência de notícias russa TASS, segundo o The Wall Street Journal.

 

The jets will be added to the country's aircraft register and be deployed on domestic routes, according to Reuters. The news comes on the heels of the island of Bermuda revoking the airworthiness certificates for over 700 leased aircraft in Russia, which went into effect Saturday night.

 

Os jatos serão adicionados ao registro de aeronaves do país e serão implantados em rotas domésticas, de acordo com a Reuters. A notícia vem na esteira da ilha das Bermudas revogando os certificados de aeronavegabilidade para mais de 700 aeronaves alugadas na Rússia, que entraram em vigor no sábado [12/03] à noite.

 

The battle between Russia and lessors has been ongoing since the invasion of Ukraine on February 24, with the EU forcing aircraft leasing companies to cancel their contracts with Russian airlines by March 28, meaning those foreign planes need to be returned to their owners.

 

A batalha entre a Rússia e as locadoras está em curso desde a invasão da Ucrânia em 24 de fevereiro, com a UE forçando as empresas de leasing de aeronaves a cancelar seus contratos com companhias aéreas russas até 28 de março, o que significa que esses aviões estrangeiros precisam ser devolvidos aos seus proprietários.

 

As Boeing and Airbus are banned from shipping spare parts to Russia, this could force airlines to turn to risky alternatives, like buying uncertified supplies from China or "cannibalizing" parts from planes on the ground, including lessor jets.

 

Como a Boeing e a Airbus estão proibidas de enviar peças de reposição para a Rússia, isso poderia forçar as companhias aéreas a recorrer a alternativas arriscadas, como comprar da China suprimentos não certificados  ou "canibalizar" peças de aviões no solo, incluindo jatos de locadoras.

 

According to aviation consultancy Ishka, $10 billion worth of planes is stranded in Russia.

De acordo com a consultoria de aviação Ishka, 10 bilhões de dólares em aviões estão encalhados na Rússia.

 







WRONG FLIGHT PLAN


ACCURATE FLIGHT

FLIGHT BACK TO MOSCOW








RISK




terça-feira, 1 de março de 2022

AVIATION ACCIDENT ACCORDING TO A SINGLE CAUSE - The Main Cause

 



 AVIATION ACCIDENT INVESTIGATION 

Sources:

School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University, MT, USA

Clinton V. Oster Jr.

 

Mason School of Business, College of William and Mary, Williamsburg, VA, USA

John S. Strong

 

School of Public and Environmental Affairs, Indiana University, 1315 E. Tenth St., Bloomington, IN, USA

C. Kurt Zorn


 

A LEGAL APPROACH

Classify each aviation accident according to a SINGLE CAUSE after you having dissected the event chain of failures.

 

There have been decades of the misused term, LOSS OF CONTROL (in flight), to describe many written real causes of aviation accidents in the Final Investigation Report, since such term it overcharges the Pilot's onus and, legally prejudices the flight deck crew.

 

It's because categorizing every accident into a SINGLE CAUSE (the first event of the chain) is now an absolute requirement (Judicially). The investigators have responsibility to find 'what was the "atomic particle" of influencing the LOSS OF CONTROL, not only writing a generalized "accusation" without determining the first cause in the events chain, which it promoted to end up in the accident.


Widespread "prosecution" of pilots is illegal as using the term LOSS OF CONTROL without the determination of the first event that started the events chain for resulting the LOSS OF CONTROL. Those investigated aviation accident concluded as LOSS OF CONTROL they could have occurred for another main cause, such as maintenance failure, engineering design, mechanical failure, or a running software routine error.


If the Final Aviation Accident Investigation Report does NOT specify the first event that caused the result, the Report must NOT synthetize the cause as LOSS OF CONTROL.  

 

“Protected Disclosure”

Protected Disclosure means any good faith communication that discloses

• suspected improper governmental activity (IGA), or

• any significant threat to public/employee health or safety

 

PORTUGUÊS

"Divulgação Protegida"

Divulgação Protegida significa qualquer comunicação de boa-fé

que revela

• atividade suspeita imprópria do governo (IGA), ou

• qualquer ameaça significativa à  saúde ou segurança pública/funcionário

 


 

Purpose of the Written Report

• To evidence a timely and impartial institutional response

• To accurately document the investigation conducted

• To provide decision-maker with facts needed to decide the matter

• To ensure a successful investigation

• To best defend the investigation

 

The TOP-SET headings:

T ime, Sequence and History

O rganisation / Control / Responsibility

P eople and their involvement

S imilar events

E nvironment and its effects

T echnology, equipment & processes

 

Loss of lives it isn’t to be summarized on a mere wide-ranging technical aviation term, like LOSS OF CONTROL. That’s vague statement.

 

Even vague suggestion of Criminal Conduct may be defamatory Per Se.

 

Vagueness refers to a lack of clarity in meaning. For example, “Go down the road a ways and then turn right” is vague because “a ways” does not precisely explain how far one should go down the road.

 

Ambiguity is when there is more than one clear meaning, and it is difficult to choose which meaning was intended. For example, “Paul went to the bank” is ambiguous because bank could mean a river bank or a financial institution. “He was cut” could mean he was cut from the team or he was cut by a sharp object.

 

Another example: “The stool is in the garden” is ambiguous because stool could mean poop or chair.

 

PORTUGUÊS

A "acusação" generalizada aos pilotos é ilegal. O acidente poderia ter ocorrido por outra causa, como falha de manutenção, projeto de engenharia, falha mecânica e, erro de execução de rotina de software.

 

Houve décadas do termo mal utilizado, PERDA DO CONTROLE EM VOO, para descrever muitas causas reais escritas de acidentes aéreos no Relatório de Investigação Final, uma vez que tal termo sobrecarrega o ônus do Piloto e, legalmente, prejudica os membros da tripulação.   É porque categorizar cada acidente em uma ÚNICA CAUSA (o primeiro evento) é agora um requisito absoluto.

 

QUESTIONS ON REPORT TO BE ASWERED

- Who was involved in the accident?

- What actually happened?

- When it happened?

- Where it happened? And

- Why did the first failure event take place?

 

 


 Accidents are usually the culmination of a sequence of events, mistakes, and failures.

 

When planes crash, we want to know what happened. The good news is that there’s technology available today that it would give us the answers. The bad news is that the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has not mandated that aircraft operators install it [the tech], citing privacy, security, cost, and other concerns.

 

Commercial airliners are required to have only flight data recorders and cockpit voice recorders, commonly called “black boxes”, but the NTSB has long called for cockpit image recorders, as well. Such video would have been extremely helpful in determining flight crew actions in recent crashes in Texas, Indonesia, and Ethiopia.

 

Part 121 regulations or under Part 135 regulations.

Airline passenger service in aircraft with more than 30 seats has always been provided under Part 121 regulations. Traditionally, scheduled commuter service with aircraft with fewer than 30 seats and on-demand air taxi service has been provided under Part 135 regulations.

 

The goal of the analysis

 

Not all accidents are investigated by organizations with the resources or technical expertise of the National Transportation Safety Board in the United States, the Air Accidents Investigations Branch in the United Kingdom, the Bureau of Enquiry and Analysis for Civil Aviation Safety in France.


 

For example, an engine failure during takeoff where the crew fails to take the needed actions to land the plane safely with the result of an accident.

 

If more information is available for accidents in some sectors of aviation than others or in some countries than others, then there may be a tendency to find more errors in accidents where more information is available which could result in giving those accidents more weight in aggregate statistics.

 

The analysis of the example above should consider both the engine failure and the improper crew response as causes.

 

Approach to classify each accident according to a SINGLE CAUSE

 

An advantage of this simplification is that it is possible to compare a much broader range of accidents.

 

There are two basic approaches to assigning a cause or causes to an accident.

 

FIRST - Why did the engine fail?

SINGLE: Engine failure would be identified as the cause of the accident.

The absence of the factor that initiated the chain of events resulting in an accident, the accident could have been avoided.

 

SECOND - Why didn't the crew respond properly?

SINGLE: The cause of the factor that initiated the sequence of events that culminated in the accident.

I've called it "the atomic particle of influencing crew error".

That is an “unforced” pilot error rather than a failure to respond properly to an emergency.

 

One approach would be to assign the cause that was the last point at which the accident could be prevented. Pilot error would be indicated as the cause of the accident provided in the example above.

 

An example of the approach of assigning multiple causes to an accident is the Human Factors Analysis and Classification System (HFACS) developed originally for the Department of Defense and more recently applied to civilian aviation accidents (Shappell & Wiegmann, 2000).

 


HFACS has focused on aircrew behavior but could also be applied to human factors in maintenance, air traffic management, cabin crew, and ground crew.

 

In a re-examination of the link between an airline’s profitability and its safety record, Madsen (2011, p. 3) suggests that the “strikingly inconsistent results” in the existing empirical literature are due to an inflection point in the relationship between profitability and safety. His analysis “demonstrates that safety fluctuates with profitability relative to aspirations, such that accidents and incidents are most likely to be experienced by organizations performing near their profitability targets” (Madsen, 2011, p. 23).

 

If an airline is slightly below its profitability target, it has an incentive to increase its risk of accidents by spending less on safety. Or, if it is slightly above its target, a reduction in spending on safety can have a significant effect on its ability to remain above the profitability target. Conversely, when an airline is substantially above or below its profitability target, the incentive to reduce spending on safety is considerably less.

 

Investigating the link between maintenance and aviation safety

Marais and Robichaud (2012) look at the effect that maintenance has on aviation passenger risk. They found a small but significant impact of improper or inadequate maintenance on accident risk.

 

The effect that aging aircraft may have on accidents and overall safety levels

 

In an investigation of the effect the adoption of strict product liability standards has had on the general aviation industry, it was found that liability insurance costs for new planes increased significantly (Nelson & Drews, 2008).

 

The concept of latent and active failure and considers four levels of failure:

1) unsafe acts

2) preconditions for unsafe acts

3) unsafe supervision

4) organizational influences

 

Individual error categories within each causal category (Wiegmann et al., 2005)

 

In one study of human error in commercial aviation accidents, the results were reported aggregated into 18 causal categories (Shappell et al., 2004). Not all accidents were included in the analysis, only those where there was some error by the aircrew. The results were reported as the number of accidents in the data set that were associated with one or more of the error categories that make up each causal category.

 

Part 135 air carriers operate smaller aircraft in both scheduled (often referred to as commuter) and nonscheduled (often referred to as on-demand) service typically into and out of smaller airports than those served by Part 121 air carriers.

 

Within the Part 135 industry, the distribution of accident causes for scheduled and nonscheduled services are very similar, so they are not presented. However, the distributions of causes for Part 135 accidents in Alaska services are noticeably different than for service outside of Alaska.

 

For Part 135 service in Alaska, pilot error is even more prominent, accounting for 83 percent of both accidents and fatalities. The reasons for these differences are also not understood.

 


The Swiss cheese theory

The “ Swiss cheese effect ,” also known as the “cumulative act effect,” comes from the work of James Reason, a British psychologist who analyzed systemic failure in terms of four levels of human error:

1. Unsafe supervision

2. Preconditions for unsafe acts

3. The unsafe acts themselves

4. Organizational influences.

 

 

The Swiss cheese model of accident causation

The Swiss cheese model of accident causation illustrates that, although many layers of defense lie between hazards and accidents, there are flaws in each layer that, if aligned, can allow the accident to occur.

 

The Swiss cheese model of safety

The theory is that the multiple layers of cheese represent a process safety system. If several slices of cheese are stacked on top of each other, the hypothesis is that the holes would not align, which would shield the beam of light, preventing a hazard from passing through the layers (and resulting in catastrophe).

 

Human error theory

With human error theory, a violation occurs when an individual deliberately and knowingly chooses not to follow a guideline or rule. These latter types of error are cognitive failures and are either due to actions not going as planned (slips/lapses) or plans being inadequate to achieve the objective (mistakes).